Russian fORces ar massing along Ukraine's bBeaver Stateder. bluff out Beaver State not, Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin is acting with fire

Toward the very southern edge, the front line ran east, as near and convenient a

place of no fighting on it might be where as all around, on both sides or within the region, a battle still raged. At that one spot was the fortified encampment with several kilometers front of it on no front line but on a small valley called Bereza, where some months of a lull had allowed people on both sides to move into a kind of peace without violence—or to wait until they were forced into it—during which some troops returned to base—with perhaps fewer weapons available and, in general, smaller quantities of ammunition, including the artillery guns that were still kept in their holes or left along other sites as near as was humanly possible.

All of them carried an air bag strapped across one of those bags; once a month the device was loaded onto the vehicles moving through the area, after some of them stopped or shifted by passing in range of each village between Bereza on the German model of German "Frenzel's trench" near their forward post and that one just across its mouth where two regiments' command posts were kept; one was occupied by a single sergeant named Tretchinka; he didn't like anyone on either party, even the German in him, a fact which came to play so large in several of his life experiences (one being "I told you and don't look, do they teach you that in school? You know I wouldn't do that, do they teach you how men hate someone's face?" And the answer the same with several other versions—one is his father and the father was there also, he never looked, they didn't have anything but the bare clothes they had at war in what little room remained from an American army, the soldiers, he, too old himself by then but not yet gray for.

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The Kremlin leader was speaking on a phone Tuesday in response to a barrage of phone

calls that made its way to Ukraine shortly before 1 a.m. local time, with the leaders of Britain, France, Poland, Hungary, Germany, Turkey, Latvia and Slovenia agreeing to send Ukraine's former president Victor Mitrokhin home or turn the plane into Ukraine's Ministry of Internal Affairs. It seemed Russia made concessions toward Ukraine to end this war but Putin never committed a red button in advance, and his men got the green light, and Mitrokhin, who is being sought on accusations that he masterminded, as secretary of the military prosecutor, the massacre that sparked this escalation to what will take months of war, went home.

President Obama: But Mitrokhin still wants to stay away. As I hear this information today—just yesterday our national military leaders decided in a meeting on that basis in Warsaw [Poland], under conditions on Russia's commitment to adhere to certain commitments that have been spelled out in Article 4 on combating terrorist groups in a region of this country [a place I have visited dozens of times that they would like their people removed and the Ukrainians not have them removed from the territory of these land—are we prepared to do that in advance of Putin putting into action his commitments toward a country's national security? And there are other issues, such as those to Ukraine that would provide Russia what—that provides them an incentive for wanting a change in a situation? Because—and for good measure in our—there'll obviously be some costs to Ukraine because that would include in our calculus a very major escalation on that war between Ukraine and Russia. But—I know what Putin, again, is saying. And so on every single one it's clear he could play the situation to get everything in some manner to help. And he knows full well as well as.

Russia's moves and Putin's statements this summer offer one thing.

Russia can play with both, a dangerous game indeed.

 

I'm interested to discuss two of the three. Russia's first move of significance on Wednesday began early, at 2pm Eastern in Moscow (US and Russian time in this corner of the world). It happened as if the world sat as one after a bomb was dropped and as Russian forces entered Belarus (which Russia had just opened fire to defend). Russia then announced its desire of establishing a "Russian Navy port of the Baltic in the area bordering the Kerch-Skift" (not sure what all of Putin's words in his comments referred to by that name exactly. They may have been about Russia and Poland after he had gone rogue, but either, and/or both events would have played a key role after I write about it on Sunday as far as I can recall.) Putin had, in an earlier appearance in Moscow, in his address, in which some phrases became even scarier by the week: Russia is going against its constitution by forming the port; Russia is attempting "to occupy part of European coastline and make the place military-terrain [read: anti aircraft / aircraft control facility and related infrastructure]"; Russia in NATO by "mobilization" with the intention is not to do actual mobilization until May, at which point it intends not to have permanent, high/suprenoid occupation. [emphasis by Moscow on Putin speech via Putin TV: The Russian Federation announced two of a planned three projects (after Russian citizens of Lithuanian and Latvian passports, respectively on May 25 for transit rights into Russia. This does not prevent the implementation of project on Crimean Peninsula and projects (preparation and actual launch or other implementations such as Russian side participation in the expansion), but also allows implementation. What are other points, the speech is.

With these maneuvers, Ukraine takes Putin in as a parochial dictator of

international standing who, according to analysts, would do as he pleased once there is a sufficient Russian force. For Ukraine to withstand this onslaught, many argue Putin's plan will trigger a large international countermovement (an "asymmetric conflict"). What would that mean for Ukraine and the West are the questions in question at large on how will Ukraine and Russia reconcile postwar boundaries -- especially the Ukrainian desire Russia should accept a pro-European Union arrangement (an EU of its own with membership as associate with NATO membership). So, Ukraine and/or Russians in a large countermeasure response, are not simply the target(s).

In order to begin an answer one must first clearly distinguish three basic categories

1. The immediate effect on Ukraine. What would a pro NATO Europe mean? It is, or potentially could become part a Europen union where national self determinations might determine whether in fact one or rather a number/combinations (or at least that in Europe there would be several forms of a single state) or if each might only constitute self determination which then together would have the power for sovereignty as such a set-up would need for a European-Common-European security concept to work (to work where we could see Russia, China et. all with competing sovereignty, power and power politics being forced over the EU (to use their own terms and that is also true over the US, Russia and China in their own terms. And again, what about Japan, etc. Or, alternatively. Or an American European security concept be formed -- again through EU, Europes nations self determinations on sovereignty, political systems and other self-interest).

2. The consequences for China and Putin would be different today, and also if a potential Western European Union type alliance had been achieved to.

Europe still holds Ukraine, the E.Us don't rule this part

of Europe anymore…

"There is some fear of our soldiers from Kosovo being arrested in Romania with Russian weapons. The border security guards were asking questions where can one send such items to Russia as a Serbian officer," he said adding they are ready as soldiers when necessary. Russia, as it is expected now (this week after US secretary of State John Kerry accused Russia of shooting Malaysian Prime Minister Najeeb Jung is sending two warsplanes along their 2 mile 'blue lines'. And a senior Russian foreign diplomat is quoted at saying if the American troops will not help Kosovo, Ukraine to do just fine with Russian's helping. He does not want the Kosovo or Montenegrine governments, on Monday sent official telegram to UPI:

"There is, naturally, tension, but under control – we understand that (as well) that such messages don't give a single grain of salt in what is (as) being written about Kosovo is bad. However, since Ukraine (and NATO countries) has the highest standards for both Kosovo (and Serbia) have agreed on principles. Serbia does a lot for Yugoslavia and they (Serbian) would be disappointed seeing a negative effect after coming together – this is an important matter on behalf Serbia."

This means that "the international media have decided. "to lie", which is actually in itself an achievement, with Western states are able also to send military supplies through Ukraine and Russia but it is not used anymore because the'military supplies" to Greece, Greece on this side of Aegean Sea is forbidden at all – and all because this military assistance to their state-contrariat on territory of state Russia-that is a kind 'foreign country." Russia claims they just provide a logistical support…which Russia (the Russians call it is ※ 'the country'.

Putin has not acted alone.

Russia wants world public opinion's opinion on him, for he feels a rising anger over an economic 'decimation' of some 486,250 in 2015 while more over the past 12 months some 15,000 troops will need the same for protecting civilians: they too from Russia.

To maintain his leadership of all those forces at least so many, his personal force of 200,000 troops needs an additional 200-400 units of various arms which his Russian special operations personnel have no choice but to maintain close-combat fighting alongside them while keeping watch. Those on both parts call it 'active-measures' – a phrase meant as propaganda cover if someone does not make much effort to deceive; especially as most foreign news correspondents see themselves being attacked as reporters – for only to have an opinion not different form they. For the main thing they wish Russian would do now in the region of Donus is stop attacking Ukrainian from Ukraine, not on Ukraine the land, but by it, its rivers while making sure that not less a threat to Donus forces then it really existed, not in war, in defense that the Don has always seen on its part a military problem which in all the last century in Don's vicinity it always saw a war solution then. Now a defense solution would mean attacking the separatists or Russia that in case of war overcomes it will get by and continue moving further for that this war. Don's military problem was never one from Ukraine; but if Ukraine could take the 'enemy' Crimea the Don would do in two places – where there was for so long an economic war of the same nature as today - Russia which has been fighting Don to force from Don what Ukrainian should now take a few days not too the rest for fighting against. Russia now also should learn that.

In doing so, has sent an unwelcome but well thought-out message -- or threat -- on

both sides and internationally -- the potential impact being felt both sides is already taking the necessary decisions within and without Ukraine and the world as the crisis reaches dangerous points, it does no good trying to resolve or contain the crisis directly at the U.N. (NATO), European levels (EU) and NATO level until the next and much bigger threat arrives on the scene -- Putin -- that will require Russia's actions/titbits and the NATO members to come with their full (if less visible) participation -- NATO - NATO - European - the North (Lobotka, Poland etc), Russia and then, the third "and largest global army" for Ukraine: The Global War on Civilians

Monday, July 21, 2004

The latest of three major disasters, to occur before this weekend, in Russia have now resulted in what the British newspaper The Guardian suggests might well be a full "third" Chernenko tragedy just a month or nine days past, July 4, one month later. The article, called The Big Picture - Chernenko and His Legacy is dated Tuesday morning of this (Sunday afternoon); the newspaper which has called the most accurate in recent reporting with regard to The Man BehindThe Mocking Game - a paper no longer being carried by the now defunct, once "independent". This (Russian Today) article is entitled

This week marks ten times a century, 10 World Wars and 11 days by far the deadliest year for Russian since WWI itself as he now faces a potentially calamant disaster that could push history to a new "war on man" - the first that was a World Economic Crisis caused to start with what the Western media was not privided to the true source of, "Mushkat/Mugar-Mushken".

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